The 7 Deadly Sins Every GM Should Avoid by Marc Appleby –

Areas Covered

  • PowerScout research overview
  • The two major findings
  • The 7 deadly sins
  • A look at the Oilers this year
If we want players that help our team ‘win’, why don’t we measure them that way?- asked Terry

PowerScout analyzes hockey by focusing on the proven patterns for winning.

Using our key research findings, we create analytical and
technology solutions that help hockey managers & coaches at
every hockey level maximize assets and build winning teams.

  • Research by retired economist Terry Appleby
  •  Over 30 years of statistics research into hockey
  •  Over 14 years studying winning NHL teams
  •  20-yr member of Society of American Baseball Research

Sin #1:

Overestimating the difference in value between average and top-tier goalies

Sin #6:

Overestimating the effectiveness of building a team’s attack through the wing position

Learn more from the presentation below

 

The Evolution of Hockey Statistics by Bruce McCurdy

Scoring chances

A chance is counted any time a team directs a shot cleanly on-net from within home-plate. Shots on goal and misses are counted, but blocked shots are not (unless the player who blocks the shot is “acting like a goaltender”). Generally speaking, we are more generous with the boundaries of home-plate if there is dangerous puck movement immediately preceding the scoring chance, or if the scoring chance is screened. If you want to get a visual handle on home-plate,

Neilson Numbers

  • Based on ideas of Roger Neilson
  • Assignment of individual responsibility on scoring chances for and against
  • Requires an extra degree of qualitative judgement over and above deciding whether a scoring chance has occurred
  • Eliminates false positives/negatives, however individual numbers don’t reconcile to team totals
  • Fewer recording errors than on-ice scoring chances as players are identified as part of the process
  • Same system can be used to assign unofficial assists on GF or errors on GA
  • Reliant on a knowledgeable scorer, but as with other scoring chance systems, would work better if 3 or 5 scorers worked independently, then pooled results

Learn more form the presentation below:

The Value of A Draft Pick by Dan Haight

What is Analytics?

- Using data, math, and reasoning to gain a competitive edge.

 

The search for objective knowledge about [hockey]

What are advanced stats?

  1. Corsi–Shots directed on goal minus shots directed on your own goal (proxy for possession)
  2. Qualcomp–how good is the opposition that a player typically lines up against (how a coach is using a player)
  3. Qualteam–how good are the teamatesa player typically lines up with
  4. PDO –a combination of team shooting percentage and save percentage when a player is on the ice (proxy for luck)
  5. Zone Start–percentage of offensive zone faceoffs when a player is on the ice
  6. Predicted Goals Scored–how many goals a player or team should have scored given shot location and an average goalie (attempts to remove luck from player performance)

What can it be used for

  • Player evaluation –offensive and defensive value, playing context
  • Team evaluation –tactics, tendencies, cap efficiency
  • Player negotiation
  • Training and preparation
  • Procurement and projection
  • Tactics

 

See the presentation below to learn more…

 

The Future of Medicine by Kim Solez

An Outsider’s Observation on the Singularity Institute of Artificial Intelligence

 

Problem of Audience Heterogeneity

  • Some already know what the technological Singularity is, others don’t, and are finding out now.
  • However, if the people and ideas I present are genuinely new and interesting I should be able to satisfy both groups.
The technological singularity occurs as artificial intelligences surpass human beings as the smartest and most capable life forms on the Earth. Technological development is taken over by the machines, who can think, act and communicate so quickly that normal humans cannot even comprehend what is going on. The machines enter into a ‘runaway reaction’ of self-improvement cycles, with each new generation of A.I.s appearing faster and faster. From this point onwards, technological advancement is explosive, under the control of the machines, and thus cannot be accurately predicted (hence the term ‘Singularity’)….” -Ray Kurzweil

To learn more about the  Singularity Institute of Artificial Intelligence see the presentation below:

 

Lili Liu – Technologies to Support Home Care Services and Community Living

Research on smart homes

Literature review of non-obtrusive technologies to enhance the quality of life and safety of older adults living at home, congregate housing, and assisted living settings.
Funded by Alberta Addiction & Mental Health
Research Partnership Program

Outline

  1. What research has been done on technologies to support community living (smart homes)?
  2. What is the Smart Condo™ project at the University of Alberta?
  3. How can technologies support home-care services and community living? (HCA-T Project)
  4. Health Care on the Cloud

Summary

  • Technologies can support older adults with
  • complex chronic conditions (arthritis, hypertension,
  • heart disease, cognitive impairment) to stay at
  • home. However challenges need to be addressed:
  • Adaptation
  • Accessibility
  • Usability
  • Privacy
  • Accuracy
  • Unobtrusiveness
  • Social & ethical implications
See the presentation below:

Always Connected. Safe and Secure by Bob Aloisio

Presentation by  Safe Tracks GPS Solutions

The Safetracks Advantage

  • Extensive GPS and Telecommunications experience
  • Specialized Offender Electronic Monitoring Division
  • Unique Personal Tracking Monitoring Division
  • 100% Canadian owned and operated
  • Integration of EM equipment on multiple levels
  • Tailor made solutions to address specific requirements

Key features

  • Cutting Edge EM hardware
  • Easy to use Web Based application
  • 24x7x365 Canadian Monitoring Center
  • Software & Data fully stored in Canada

 

Learn more from the presentation below:

Engineered Cells and Tissues by Locksley McGann

This talk is a little bit about

  • Cellular therapies
  • Tissue transplantation
  • Current and emerging applications
  • Role of analytics in future developments

Cell Therapies and Stem Cells

  • Cell therapies do not necessarily use stem cells
  • Examples:–Blood transfusions–Islets of LangerhansIslets are isolated from the pancreas of a donorand transplanted into a patient to treat diabetes(Edmonton is an international leader in this area)

Adult stem cell examples -3

Umbilical Cord Blood

  • After a baby is born and the umbilical cord is cut, there remains in the cord and the placenta, some of the baby’s blood.
  • This blood, which is normally discarded with the placenta, contains a significant number of hematopoietic stem cells.
  • These hematopoietic stem cells can be cryopreserved for storage, and later used for transplantation.

Looking ahead

  • Therapies utilizing living cells and tissues are increasingly begin used in treating patients
  • Analytics will play an increasingly important role to:–define specific requirements for each patient–design and develop the appropriate biological modalities–monitor the patient to track the performance of the grafted cells/tissues, and to improve procedures
  • These developments require development of partnerships between the disciplines

Learn more from the presentation below:

Health Data System Dilemmas by Randy Duguay

The main dilemmas in health care will require addressing these areas of need to help enable care providers in providing patient-centric care

Outline

  • Top Issues in Health
  • Patient-centric Care & Transformative Health Services
  • Emerging Solutions
    • Healthcare in the Clouds
    • Health Analytics & BI
    • mHealth
    • Consumer Health
  • Concluding discussion
    • Is Access to private/ personal- ized health information a threat or an opportunity?

Medication Errors and Non-Compliance

  • 40 percent of hand-written prescriptions have errors
  • up to 50 percent of patients do not take their medication properly
  • 20 percent of prescriptions are not filled

Performance Management

  • Unfortunately Canada is behind in some areas:
    • Pay-for-Performance – controversial subject
    • National spending on healthcare has experienced an 8 percent annual growth on average in the last decade
    • By 2030 healthcare spending could absorb 4/5 of Ontario’s budget
  • The Answer: Analytics / Business Intelligence Solutions
    • Need to be able to analyze public health trends as well as hospital and physician performance and implement pay-per-for-performance strategies based on identified and agreed-to key performance indicators.
  • It is already working in:
    • The UK
    • The Netherlands
    • The United States

To learn more..see the presentation below: